Michael Johnson (-110) – This fight is between two guys that have been losing fights as of late. MJ has actually lost 7 of his last 10 fights and Moises has lost 3 of his last 4 fights. MJ did get in the ring with Nate Diaz, Khabib, and Gaethje which is impressive that he was in the ring with those guys. Johnson has stepped down to the Lightweight division and will be taking on Moises tonight who has lost 3 of his last 4. Johnson has better numbers across the board and his strike differential and taskedown defense really stand out in this one. In comparison, MJ is +0.3 to Moises -0.42 in strike differential and MJ’s takedown defense is 78% in comparison to Moises 68%. I am liking the value on MJ in this fight tonight.
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