UFC Predictions UFC 250 Nunez vs Spencer
We will have more UFC action back this Saturday in Las Vegas. UFC 250 will feature the main event between Amanda Nunes vs Felicia Spencer. There will be twelve total fights this week. 7 preliminary fights and then the typical 5 fight main card. The prelims will be free to watch on ESPN and the main card will be available to ESPN Plus members. Let’s review the UFC betting odds and our UFC predictions for UFC 250.
UFC Betting Odds:
Evan Dunham 18-8-1 (+190) vs Herbert Burns 10-2 (-240)
Alonzo Menifield 9-0 (-230) vs Devin Clark 11-4 (+190)
Jussier Formiga 23-7 (+120) vs Alex Perez 23-5 (-140)
Charles Byrd 10-6 (-170) vs Maki Pitolo 12-5 (+150)
Cody Stamann 18-2 (-270) vs Brian Kelleher 21-10 (+230)
Ian Heinisch 13-3 (-130) vs Gerald Meerschaert 30-12 (+110)
Alex Caceres 15-12 (+140) vs Chase Hooper 9-0-1 (-160)
Eddie Wineland 24-13-1 (+400) vs Sean O’Malley 11-0 (-500)
Neil Magny 22-8 (-140) vs Anthony Rocco Martin 17-5 (+120)
Aljamain Sterling 18-3 (-115) vs Cory Sandhagen 12-1 (-105)
Raphael Assuncao 27-7 (+125) vs Cody Garbrandt 11-3 (-145)
Amanda Nunes 19-4 (-650) vs Felicia Spencer 8-1 (+475)
UFC Predictions & UFC Picks for UFC 250
Evan Dunham 18-8-1 vs Herbert Burns 10-2
Sizing these two guys up, Dunham has the height advantage at 5’10” over 5’9” but Burns has a 4 inch reach advantage. Dunham has lost two fights in a row by TKO and he hasn’t won a fight since September 17, 2016. It’s been a while! On the flip side, Herbert Burns is riding a four fight win streak and is coming off of a knockout win in January of 2020. Burns has finished his last three opponents in the first round. Burns having 4 wins since Dunham’s last win plus a 4 inch reach advantage is enough for us to roll with Herbert Burns in this one.
Alonzo Menifield 9-0 vs Devin Clark 11-4
Light Heavyweight action early with a 9-0 vs 11-4 matchup, let’s get the party started early! These guys are both 6’0 and 205. Menifield has a 1 inch reach advantage. Menifield also comes in as the undefeated favorite in this matchup. Devin Clark is just 2-2 in his last four fights. It’s also worth noting that his 2 losses came in the first and second rounds. Menifield on the other hand has just been an absolute force coming in at a perfect 9-0. Menifield is a big moneyline favorite but he is a good parlay piece for this Saturday. He shouldn’t lose this fight.
Jussier Formiga 23-7 vs Alex Perez 23-5
Jussier Formiga comes in at 5’5 125 and Perez comes in 5’6 125. Formiga has the reach advantage but only by an inch and a half. Formiga is coming off of two straight losses. He lost via unanimous decision against Brandon Moreno back in March of 2020. He was also knocked out against Joseph Benavidez last June. Alex Perez is 10-1 in his last 11. Perez’s one loss came via knockout to Joseph Benavidez so both of these guys have that in common. I like the better results for Perez and the fact that he lands 4.48 significant strikes per minute in comparison to Formiga’s 1.35. This one feels like Perez by decision or submission.
Charles Byrd 10-6 vs Maki Pitolo 12-5
Both of these guys stand at 5’10 and weigh in at 185 for this middleweight fight. Maki Pitolo has the 2 inch reach advantage in this one. Both fighters are coming off of losses in their last fight. Charles Byrd was knocked out by Edmen Shahbazyan in March of 2019. Pitolo lost by submission to Callan Potter last October. Both fighters have the skills to get the win on their feet or on the ground. Based on their previous fights, the advantage goes to Pitolo if they stay on their feet. Byrd has the slight advantage on the ground. I think there is value in taking Maki Pitolo as the underdog but this fight is one of the tougher ones to predict on this weekend’s slate.
Cody Stamann 18-2 vs Brian Kelleher 21-10
Cody Stamann comes in as the big favorite in this fight and that makes sense when you have a guy who is 18-2 going up against a guy who is 21-10. Brian Kelleher did hand Hunter Azure his first career loss last month when Azure came into the fight about as big of a favorite as Stamann is for this one. Stamann is coming off of a fight which ended in a draw but he closed out that fight very strong. I do think that this fight will be closer than the betting odds reflect. However, the 18-2 record for Stamann and the fact that Kelleher is just 2-2 in his last 4 have me thinking Stamann in this one.
Ian Heinisch 13-3 vs Gerald Meerschaert 30-12
Ian Heinisch 5’11 185 vs Gerald Meerschaert 6’1 185. The oddsmakers have this one as one of the closest fights of the night and that makes a lot of sense for this matchup. If this fight took place a year ago, I would say Ian Heinisch would win no question. He was 13-1 at the time and looking dominant. However, he has lost his two most recent fights since then and both of those losses came by unanimous decision. He lost to 20-7 Derek Brunson and 20-4-1 Omari Akhmedov.
On the other side, we have Gerald Meerschaert who comes in with more experience and his 30-12 career record. Meerschaert’s grappling skills are tremendous and 22 of his 30 wins have come via submission. He will look to get Heinisch on the ground in this fight. Meerschaert seems to never go away and he has only been knocked out in 1 of his 12 career losses to Thiago Santos. Heinisch is 1-2 over his last 3 and Meerschaert is 2-1 over his last 3. I like the chances of Meerschaert dictating this fight and I think it’s more likely that he wins via submission or decision than Heinisch knocking him out or convincing the judges in a fight that goes the distance.
Alex Caceres 15-12 vs Chase Hooper 9-0-1
5’10 (not counting the fro) 145 Alex Caceres taking on 6’1 145 Chase Hooper. Chase Hooper has the height advantage, the reach advantage, and the record advantage. Hooper also lands 1.18 more significant strikes per minute. Hooper has been dominant since coming on the MMA scene in 2017 and he has ended more than 50% of his wins in the first round. The public are all over Chase Hooper in this one because of his 9-0-1 record. Caceres has more experience than Hooper being 11 years older than him but we will see if that ends up being a major factor in this fight. Caceres is 5-7 in his last 12 fights. Will Hooper continue his perfect record or with Caceres’ experience give him the advantage? Find out what we think by visiting our Daily Picks page this Saturday.
Eddie Wineland 24-13-1 vs Sean O’Malley 11-0
Here’s one of those fights where they shouldn’t even really be in the same ring together. O’Malley has a major height advantage at 5’11 over Wineland at 5’7. Another eye popping stat in this one is that O’Malley lands more than double the significant strikes per minute that Wineland does – 6.87 to 3.41. Sean O’Malley is much more efficient with his significant strikes as well landing them at 57.91% in comparison to 29.04%. O’Malley comes in undefeated and the only way that changes tonight is if Wineland lands a banger. O’Malley defends himself nicely at 66% so I don’t think we will see his undefeated streak come to an end tonight. The moneyline for O’Malley to win is huge so there’s better odds on him winning by knockout. He’s done that in 7 out of his 11 career wins (64%). This should be one of the easier bets from our UFC predictions for UFC 250.
Neil Magny 22-8 vs Anthony Rocco Martin 17-5
6’3 170 Neil Magny takes on 6’0 170 Anthony Rocco Martin. Magny has a 7 inch reach advantage in this one. With that massive reach advantage that Magny has, Martin will definitely be looking for takedowns to get Magny on the ground. Martin is 9-2 in his fights that have been decided by submission. Magny on the other hand is just 3-4 in fights decided by submission. Martin has won 4 of his last 5 and Magny has won 3 of his last 5. Magny’s take down defense is 59% but it’s a certainty that Martin will get him on the ground in this one. Magny has 7 knockouts in his 22 wins but it’ll be tough to get a knockout if this fight is on the ground. I think over 2.5 rounds is a solid play for this fight.
Aljamain Sterling 18-3 vs Cory Sandhagen 12-1
Aljamain Sterling comes in at 5’7 and Cory Sandhagen checks in at 5’11. Sandhagen has the height advantage here but Sterling actually has a 1 inch reach advantage so he doesn’t give up anything there. Sterling is the favorite in this fight and that has to do with his quickness as well as his wrestling skills. Cory Sandhagen only has one career loss that came to Jamall Emmers. Sterling has gone to decision in 3 of his last 4 fights and Sandhagen has gone to decision in 2 of his last 3 fights. Based on those recent trends, let’s take the over on the round prop for this fight.
Raphael Assuncao 27-7 vs Cody Garbrandt 11-3
Raphael Assuncao is 5’5 and Cody Garbrandt is 5’8. 3 inch height advantage for Garbrandt but Assuncao has a 1 inch reach advantage. Garbrandt will be looking to snap his three fight losing streak after starting his career 11-0 with 9 knockouts. 2 of Garbrandt’s last 3 losses came to the same guy, TJ Dillashaw (17-4). His most recent loss came against 18-4 Pedro Munhoz. 3 of Garbrandt’s last 4 fights have been title fights. Assuncao has lost his 2 most recent fights with the most recent one being last August. Which one of these fighters will snap their losing streak on Saturday? Find out HERE.
Amanda Nunes 19-4 vs Felicia Spencer 8-1
All of the hype is around this fight tonight with Amanda Nunes considered the G.O.A.T. of female MMA fighters. Amanda Nunes is riding a 10 fight win streak into this weekend and she has had 7 title fights in a row. Nunes has a chance to make history by becoming the first female fighter to defend titles in two divisions simultaneously. She will look to defend her title on Saturday against Felicia Spencer who comes in with a career record of 8-1. Spencer has fought and won 1 title fight in her career.
For those of you who don’t follow UFC closely, Amanda Nunes ended Ronda Rousey’s career by knocking her out in 48 seconds back in 2016. Nunes has knocked out 3 of her last 4 opponents and 2 of them came in the first round. Nunes looks to be unstoppable at this point in her career and that’s why she is considered the G.O.A.T. Felicia Spencer is hungry for this fight and she is coming off of a knockout win earlier this year. The oddsmakers don’t give Spencer a chance in this one with Nunes (-650) on the moneyline. I think that this fight will be closer than the oddsmakers think. This is the main event to close out our UFC predictions for UFC 250.
Are you betting on UFC 250?
We look for another successful UFC Fight Night this Saturday after our premium plays went 5-0 last week. Check out our UFC betting results from last Saturday HERE. A combination of our premium plays and UFC free picks from last week led us to a 7 fight $20 for $1,067 parlay winner. Nice ticket to cash in from an entertaining Saturday Night.
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