UFC Fight Island Preview

UFC Fight Island is set for Saturday Night and it is going to be WILD. 13 Fights as of Wednesday but you never know if there will be a last minute scratch due to Covid. Unfortunately, Gilbert Burns was already scratched from the Main Event and it’s a damn shame because I was going to hammer him on the moneyline. Let’s dive into a UFC Fight Island Preview and look at what to expect in each fight.

Martin Day (8-3) vs. Davey Grant (11-4)

Martin Day comes into this one as the favorite and he has the height advantage standing at 5’10 over Grant who is 5’8. Day has a 4 inch reach advantage as well. Size isn’t the only advantage for Martin Day. He lands 5.60 significant strikes per minute to Grant’s 3.13. Day has won 3 of his last 4 fights and those wins came via KO, decision, and submission. Grant comes in losing 3 out of his last 5 but one of those fights was a title fight. Another eye opener here is that Grant has only fought twice since 2016. Grant will look to get this one on the ground but Day should be prepared to handle this fight however it plays out. It should be close but Day is rightfully the favorite.

Karol Rosa (12-3) vs. Venessa Melo (10-7)

Obviously the 12-3 fighter is the -240 favorite in this fight. It might not be a bad idea to smash Rosa on the moneyline here as she lands 11.40 significant strikes per minute compared to Melo’s 3.60. That’s almost 4 times the amount of significant strikes per minute. 9 out of the last 10 combined fights for these two have gone to the third round. If it goes to the judges and there’s a great chance that it does, it’s hard to imagine Rosa not winning this fight. 

Raulian Paiva (19-3) vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov (13-3)

Paiva comes in with a 4 inch height and reach advantage over Zhumagulov. Paiva has lost 2 of his last 3 but he faced a couple of very tough opponents. Rogerio Bontorin (16-2) and Kai Kara-France (21-8). Zhumagulov has won 4 straight fights and 2 of those wins were in title fights. This one should be a little closer than the oddsmakers are showing right now. 

Marcin Tybura (18-6) vs. Maxim Grishin (30-7-2)

ESPN doesn’t seem to be up to date with the player profiles on this one but it’s showing that Marcin Tybura has a 41 pound weight advantage on Grishin. Tybura has been knocked out in 3 out of his last 5 fights though so maybe it’s not worth taking him. Maxim Grishin has put together 15 career knockouts and he will be looking to knock Tybura out for the 4th time in 5 fights. The odds have this one as a pick em essentially despite the size difference. 

Leonardo Santos (17-4-1) vs. Roman Bogatov (10-0)

Always eye opening to see a perfect undefeated record coming into a fight. I hate to be the guy to take away from fighter’s achievements but only 2 of Bogatov’s last 5 opponents have winning records. Santos comes in standing 4 inches taller than Bogatov and he has double the experience. Santos also hasn’t lost a fight since 2013 and he has faced some good competition. 

Makwan Amirkhani (15-4) vs. Danny Henry (12-3)

Two different types of fighters here. Amirkhani will be going for takedowns and he averages 3.39. 10 of his 15 career wins have come via submission. Henry averages less than 1 take down per fight but he still has 5 career wins via submission. Henry would prefer to stay upright since he lands 5.85 significant strikes per minute. He’s an underdog because his take down defense isn’t great and it’s a given that Amirkhani will get him on the ground multiple times in this one. This one is definitely on my underdog radar though.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (22-6) vs. Muslim Salikhov (16-2)

Shit, this one could be a battle of the names and it would be about as close as this fight is actually going to be. Both come in standing at 5’11 but dos Santos has a 3 inch reach advantage. Dos Santos also has the advantage when it comes to significant strikes landed per minute at 4.17 to 2.92. Good chance we see a knockout in this one, one way or the other since these two have combined for 26 career knockout wins. 

Volkan Oezdemir (17-4) vs. Jiri Prochazka (26-3-1)

Switzerland vs. the Czech Republic and this one will be more physical than a soccer match between these two countries. Oezdemir has won 12 of his 17 fights via knockout and Prochazka has won 22 of his 26 fights by knockout. Someone is getting knocked out in this one! Prochazka has the 2 inch height advantage and he might be worthy of the underdog play here. 

Main Card

Amanda Ribas (9-1) vs. Paige VanZant (8-4)

Ribas is a (-1000) favorite in this fight. Meaning that you would need to risk $1,000 to profit $100 on her. She’s probably not going to lose this fight. Although her only loss came in the Jungle, could her second come on the beach? If so, bettors who back VanZant will profit $650 off of a $100 bet. I don’t think there’s much value in this fight since I don’t think Ribas is going to lose.

Jessica Andrade (20-7) vs. Rose Namajunas (9-4)

Rose Namajunas comes in with the 4 inch height advantage and 3 inch reach advantage. However, Andrade has the advantage when it comes to significant strikes landed per minute at 6.55 to 3.95 and takedowns 3.21 to 2.17. This is a rematch from 2019 and Andrade knocked out Namajunas in the second round. With all of these advantages, Andrade is listed as a (+175) underdog.

Petr Yan (14-1) vs. Jose Aldo (28-6)

Yan comes in as the favorite here and his record speaks for itself at 14-1. Jose Aldo’s record isn’t too shabby at 28-6 but he has lost 3 of his last 5 fights. Aldo is 17-3 in fights decided by knockout and Yan is 6-0 in fights decided by knockout. Yan lands 5.65 significant strikes per minute compared to Aldo’s 3.47. Yan also has the takedown advantage at 1.73 to 0.64. 

Alexander Volkanovski (21-1) vs. Max Holloway (21-5)

They used to say, “pick on someone your own size” on the playground back in the day but Volkanovski is a (-220) favorite standing at 5’6 compared to Holloway at 5’11. Despite being that much shorter, Volkanovski has a 2 inch reach advantage. This one is going to be full of action with both fighters landing over 6 significant strikes per minute. Volkanovski averages 2.16 takedowns compared to Holloway’s 0.24. These two fought back on December 14, 2019 and Volkanovski won by unanimous decision. This will be Holloway’s 8th straight title fight and he will be out looking for revenge from last year. There were 291 strikes landed last time these two faced off and this rematch should be just as good. This is the fight I’m most excited to see and I feel like is the highlight of the night for Saturday and this UFC Fight Island Preview.

Holloway vs Volkanovski Rematch!

Kamaru Usman (16-1) vs. Jorge Masvidal (35-13)

Sad to see Gilbert Burns test positive with Covid 19 over the weekend and have to tap out of this fight before it even began. I was looking to take Burns as an underdog in this one because he has been fighting great as of late. Oh well. On to this Main Event matchup that just doesn’t seem to have the same amount of hype. Usman comes in as the favorite and Masvidal took this Main Event fight on less than a week’s notice. Usman is coming off of 2 straight title fight wins. Both fighters land around 4.5 significant strikes per minute so this should be an entertaining fight to close out the night. Hard to imagine Masvidal coming in on short notice and getting the win but we have seen that anything can happen in recent weeks of UFC. 

Hopefully you enjoyed our UFC Fight Island Preview and be sure to check in for more sports news and sports betting content in the future. Check us out on social media.

KofSports will be providing premium picks for UFC Fight Island and they will be posted on our Daily Picks Page by Saturday morning. Be sure to check in for those picks. Fight Island should be a lot of fun with some entertaining fights!

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Categories: Betting

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