The UFC Fight Island 1 Results are in. We missed our 6 to 1 parlay payout by one fighter. He lost against an opponent who has never faced someone with a winning record. It was still a profitable night for bettors who played smaller parlays off of the big one and individual moneylines. Here’s a look back at our breakdowns of the fights.
Jack Shore ML – The biggest favorite on the card tonight and for good reason. He comes in with a perfect 12-0 record and he has gotten wins via knockout and submission. We are thinking that Shore will get Phillips on the ground pretty quickly in this one. The reason for that is because Shore averages 4.67 takedowns per fight and Phillips take down defense is just 14%. Another nice trend is that the combined record for Phillips’ last 5 opponents is 1-10. Shore has faced much better competition and we feel the large moneyline reflects how much stronger of a fighter he is than Phillips.
Jared Gordon ML – Gordon lands 6.26 significant strikes per minute and he has the 3rd highest accuracy rating in UFC Lightweight history at 54.1%. Chris Fishgold lands just 2.53 significant strikes per minute. Fishgold’s strength is winning by submission as 13 of his 18 wins have come that way. Jared Gordon has never lost by submission. I feel like Gordon should be even more of a favorite than -145 but he did have to cut some weight to make this fight. Let’s take him to win with these trends on his side.
Khamzat Chimaev ML – Chimaev comes in standing at 6’2 over his opponent John Phillips who is 5’11. Chimaev has looked dominant in his young career and comes in with a perfect 6-0 record. He has won 3 fights by knockout and 3 fights by submission. It’s always good to see a well balanced fighter who has been equally dominant with both types of finishes. John Phillips is just 2-5 in fights decided by submission so Chimaev will likely be looking to exploit that weakness on Wednesday night.
Abdul Razak Alhassan ML – Abdul Razak Alhassan is 10-1 and all 10 of his wins have come via knockout. ALL 10 of those knockout wins came in the first round. 6 of those 10 knockout wins came in the first minute of the fight. On the flip side, Mounir Lazzez has 9 career wins and 8 of them came via knockout. The big problem with Lazzez is that he’s never faced an opponent with a winning record and he only one of his opponents has more than 3 career fights. I expect Alhassan to knock him out in this one.
Tim “The Mullet” Elliott ML – Elliot and his sweet mullet will be taking on Ryan “Bitch face” Benoit in the co main event this evening and on paper Elliott has the advantage. Mullet has averaged 3.41 significant strikes to Benoit’s 2.80, and Benoit absorbs 3.18 significant strikes per minute compared to Elliott’s 2.53. This should provide a large advantage for Mr. Mullet here. Elliott lost his last fight due to submission but he will be happy to see that Benoit has only won 1 career fight by submission. This is a close moneyline, but we see the clear advantage for Elliott.
Calvin Kattar ML – Calvin Kattar is coming off of a victory with a 2nd round knockout against UFC legend Jeremy Stephens. Kattar comes in standing at 5’11 over Dan Ige who is just 5’7. Despite the height difference, Ige only gives up 1 inch in reach. Kattar lands 5.29 significant strikes per minute to Ige’s 4.12. Ige has the advantage when it comes to take downs at 2.15 to 0.42 BUT Kattar’s take down defense is 77%. Kattar is about as big of a favorite as bigger of a person he is than Ige and I expect him to win this fight.
UFC Fight Island 1 Results
Each fighter that we expected to take care of business did so except for Alhassan. He came in 10-1 with 10 career knockouts all coming in the first round. He was close to getting one in the first but after that he was gassed. Other than that loss, our predictions were right on point. The Main Event was a great fight and it was good to see Calvin Kattar come through in the end. We are now 6-1 in our last 7 UFC Main Event predictions. Be sure to check in for the next event and get our picks on our Daily Picks Page!
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