Celtics (+2) – The Celtics are listed as underdogs again in Game 3. We took them in Game 1 and won but laid off in Game 2 expecting the Raptors to come back strong. The Celtics played poorly in Game 2 yet they still came out with the win. They overcame a 12 point deficit in the second half. That now improves them to 5-1 against the Raptors this season and they have now gone 6-0 in the playoffs.The Celtics have shown that they are the better team this season and after the Game 2 win, that could very easily have taken the wind out of the Raptors sails. Here’s a bubble stat for you – the Raptors are 0-3 against the Celtics but 11-0 against all other teams. The Raptors have had a hard time slowing down the healthy Tatum, Brown, Walker trio and they have also struggled against the Celtics tough defense. I expect the Raptors will come back with a strong push in Game 3 tonight but it’s hard to pass on the Celtics as “underdogs” with the way that they have been outplaying this Raptors team all season.
Result – Winner – Raptors 104 Celtics 104
Teaser – teasers allow you to move the spread or total in your favor with 2 or more selections. DM me with any questions you have about placing teaser bets.
UAB (-14.5) / South Alabama / Southern Miss Under (62.5) – Our first College Football play of the season to get us warmed up for this weekend.
UAB will take on Central Arkansas who has started the season 1-0 but they are on a short week and playing a superior UAB team. UAB returns most of their key players from last season and are have a chip on their shoulder after being embarrassed in their Conference Championship and Bowl game last season. UAB went 9-3 in the regular season and they had the 9th ranked defense allowing 306.8 yards per game. Central Arkansas struggled for 3 quarters against an Austin Peay defense last Saturday where they only scored 13 points through 3 quarters. UAB has a lot of potential on offense if they can put it together this season. QB Tyler Johnston III ranked #9 in the country (tied with Trevor Lawrence) averaging 9 yards per passing attempt last season. His top two targets Austin Watkins Jr. (1,000+ yards last season) and Myron Mitchell are back. UAB also has a 3 headed running back group with Spencer Brown, Jermaine Brown Jr., and Lucious Stanley who all recorded 400+ yards last season. Spencer Brown ran for 1,000+ yards last season and 16 touchdowns even though he battled injuries. With the returning players for UAB from a 9-3 season last year and taking on a lesser opponent tonight, I think this one is going to be an absolute BLOWOUT. Give me the -14.5. This game will be on ESPN3.
South Alabama and Southern Miss will open their seasons against eachother tonight and I like teasing the under up to 62.5. Reports out of both camps are saying that the offenses have been struggling and that’s expected with the weird off season that College Football players went through with the Covid pandemic. South Alabama went under 62.5 in 10 of their 12 games last season and Souther Miss went inder 62.5 in 10 of their 13 games last season. Southern Miss struggled with turnovers last season and QB Jack Abraham threw 25 interceptions. He also lost his top two receivers from last season with Quez Watkins going to the NFL and Jaylond Adams opting out of the season. Southern Alabama allowed 32.2 points per game last season but they return their linebackers and secondary. The secondary did a good job limiting the big plays last season. South Alabama’s offense only averaged 18 points per game last season. 55% of their offensive production came on the ground last season. Run the ball = keeping the clock ticking.
Obviously the key to this under hitting is the ability of this South Alabama defense to slow down the Souther Miss offense. I think forcing a couple turnovers will help them do just that. 62.5 is a lot, especially for two offenses that haven’t been able to have a “normal” off season and training camp. This game will be broadcasted on CBS Sports Network.
Result – Loser – Thanks to 2 garbage time touchdowns and a non review on a touchdown that was clearly not a touchdown. We should have none with it being the first prime time College Football game. Lost this one due to a back door cover with 32 second left……………………………….
White Sox (Cease) (-137) – The White Sox will take on the Royals tonight and they are 5-1 against them this year. Dylan Cease will pitch for the Sox and he has held this Royals lineup to a .220 avg in 50 career at bats. This powerful White Sox lineup will take on Danny Duffy who they have a lot of history against and come in with a .289 avg in 242 at bats. 5 of the 9 hitters in the White Sox lineup have taken Danny Duffy deep before. The Sox just lost 2 out of 3 to the Twins but this matchup tonight is a good opportunity for them to get back on track and -135 isn’t a bad price at all. Let’s go Sox!
Result – Winner – White Sox 11 Royals 6
Cross Sport Parlay:
Dodgers (Kershaw) (-1.5) / Clippers ML (+106) – Plus money for this L.A. parlay with Dodgers run line and Clippers moneyline.
The Dodgers will have Clayton Kershaw on the mound and he has been pitching great this season en route to his 4-1 record and 1.80 ERA. He has only allowed 2 runs in his last 20 innings pitched. He pitched against this DBacks lineup earlier this season and held them to 3 hits over 5.2 scoreless innings. Kershaw has had long term success against this DBacks lineup and has helf them to a .197 avg in 137 career at bats. The Dodgers lineup will face Luke Weaver who is 1-5 with an 8.23 ERA this season. They hit him hard on August 1st when they scored 6 earned runs in 4 innings against him in an 11-2 win. The Dodgers should get some early run support for Kershaw and Kershaw should continue to dominate.
The Clippers will play Game 1 of the West Semi Finals against the Nuggets who are coming off of a Game 7 win where they only scored 80 points. The Nuggets better be better on offense tonight because the Clippers were the 3rd highest scoring team in the regular season at 117 points per game. The Clippers went 2-1 against the Nuggets in the regular season with wins of 124-111 and 132-103. The one loss the Clippers had to the Nuggets came in a game where they were missing one of their top two players, Paul George. PG was the leading scorer for the Clippers in their 2 wins against the Nuggets this season with 24 and 27 points in those games. The Clippers are rested after their first round series against the Mavericks where they dealt with some Luka magic but were able to move past the Mavs. I think 8.5 is too much of an opening spread despite the 2 blowout wins the Clippers have over the Nuggets this season but I’m confident that the Clippers will win Game 1 tonight.
Result – Winner – Dodgers 5 DBacks 1 – Clippers 120 Nuggets 97