2-2 last night with the Cs and the hockey over coming through for us but Marcus missing by 1 point and Bregman clearly needs to hit the fucking weight room. Let’s fucking let it rip!! There may be other plays added as the day goes on but I wanted to get these up early with the noon kickoff for 2 of our College Football plays. I will tweet and post on the insta story if/when plays are added.
Florida (-13.5) – The Gators are 21-5 since Dan Mullen has taken over and they have averaged 30 points per game in back to back seasons. The Gators have some new faces on offense but they are loaded and should have a field day against this Ole Miss defense that has allowed 31.3 points per game over the last 2 seasons combined. Kyle Trask had a strong end to the season and threw for 300+ in 3 of his final 4 games. Florida returns 5 starters from a defense that held opponents to 15.5 ppg last season. The O line is a question for Ole Miss and the Gators had 49 sacks in 13 games last season. I expect this one to be all Gators.
Result – Win
Florida ML / Miami ML / Texas ML / Baylor ML (-121) – All four of these teams are favored by double digits. We only need them to win straight up and the parlay of all 4 pats just under even money. 3 of these 4 teams are home today. The only road team is Texas. Texas is ranked #8 and they won their season opener 59-3. They will play Texas Tech who snuck by Houston Baptist in their only game this season. I’m confident all 4 of these team will get the W today and I’ll take the -121 odds all day!
Result – Win
Miami (-11) – The Hurricanes are off to a 2-0 start and they are coming off of a statement win against Louisville where they put up 47 points. Florida State will be without their head coach because he tested positive for Covid. Miami QB D’eriq King threw for 325 yards and 3 TDs last week. Miami is loaded on offense and plays at a high pace. Florida State struggles on offense in their opener. Their offensive line is their weak link and they will have a challenge against this Miami defense that has already racked up 18 tackles for a loss in 2 games. Florida State went 0-3 against ranked opponents last season and lost 27-10 against Miami. I expect the Hurricanes to roll.
Result – easiest win of your life
Lightning / Stars Over (5) – This is the same play we had in the game last night and these two teams combined for 9 total goals. There have been 5 or more goals scored in all 4 games in this series. I don’t see any reason why that will change in Game 5 tonight. Dallas will be playing desperate in this one. Let’s go OVER!
Result – PUSH
Nuggets Over (104.5) – The Nuggets have scored 104 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games and 3 of the 4 games in this series. They scored 103 in the one game that they didn’t go over 104. The Lakers have a chance to end this series tonight and they are favored to do so but if there’s anything we have learned from this Nuggets team in these playoffs, we know they won’t go down without a fight. They have already come back from two 3-1 series deficits and scored 104+ in 5 of those 6 “comeback” games. I like them to go over 104.5 tonight whether they win or lose.
Result – WIN
ADDED 3:24 EST
Paulo Costa (+147) – UNDERDOG ALERT! Both of these fighters come in with perfect records of 19-0 and 13-0. Adesanya has a more impressive resume but Costa has the tools to knock him out. Costa lands 8.43 significant strikes per minute compared to Adesanya’s 3.96. Don’t expect this one to go to the ground since only 1 of their 32 combined career wins have come via submission. Heavy punches and lots of them in this one. I like our chances with Costa coming in aggressive.
Result – Loss