Coastal cost us by 4 points and Bama played too good of defense to hold us back from a winning day. Let’s see what we have to close out the week strong today.
Chiefs (-1) / Titans (-1.5) – It will be the #2 ranked offense against the #2 ranked defense when the Chiefs visit the Dolphins today. The Chiefs are coming off of a game where they didn’t seem to be their usual selves but if they challenged Hill’s catch they would still have scored 29. I expect Mahomes to have a big game against the Dolphins defense that gave up 360 passing yards to Russell Wilson and 415 passing yards to Josh Allen earlier this season. The Dolphins have found ways to win but 5 of their last 7 wins have come against teams with losing records. The Chiefs should win this game. Then we have the Titans going on the road to take on the 1-11 Jaguars. The Jags have played close games the last couple weeks but at this point, they have their eyes on a top draft pick more than winning games. The Titans are right in the middle of the playoff race so this is a game they need to get. They should feed Derrick Henry and come away with the win in this one!
Tyreek Hill To Score a Touchdown (-130) – We have hit 5 straight player to score props and we go for #6 today! Hill has scored in 5 of his last 6 games and he even scored last week but the Refs didn’t count it and the Chiefs never challenged the play. He has a matchup against a Dolphins defense that was torched by the Seahawks & Bills so Mahomes and Hill should be linking up a lot today. Let’s go with Hill to get in the end zone today!
Packers (-2) / Saints (-1.5) – The Packers doubled up the Lions when they played back in Week 2 and there’s no reason to think we won’t see a similar result today. The Lions season had been a mess to the point they’ve fired their head coach and on the flip side, the Packers are 9-3. The Lions have the second worst offense in the league and they will have a hard time slowing down the Packers offense that ranks #1 in the league with 31.6 ppg. GoPackGo! Then we have the 10-2 Saints going on the road to face the 3-8-1 Eagles. Jalen Hurts will make histbfirst start for the Eagles so you’d think they will look to run the ball and run defense is a strength for the Saints who have held opponents to 76.1 ypg (#2 rank). Taysom Hill has been good at QB filling in for Drew Brees and the Saints have won 2 of those 3 games by multiple scores. Don’t expect the Saints to run it up today but they should win and cover the teased -1.5 for us.
Colts (-150) – Both of these teams are in the playoff hunt so this is a big game today. The Raiders have lost 2 of their last 3 and they got extremely lucky to sneak by the 0-12 Jets last week with a last second Hail Mary. The Colts have won 3 of their last 5 with the losses coming to the Titans & the Ravens. The Colts defense has been really good for most of the season and I’m expecting them to have another solid performance today. They need to focus on slowing down Darren Waller which is easier said than done but if they shut him down they will pull away with this game. The Colts offense has been steady all season averaging 27 ppg and I don’t expect the Raiders to slow them down. Go Colts!
Eric Ebron Total Receptions Over (3.5) – Ebron has gone over on his player props in 2 straight games and they both hit in the first half. He has been targeted 11 times in each of his last 2 games and he has come up with 7 receptions in both of those games. The books give us this same prop line that looks good for the Sunday Night matchup against the Bills. The Steelers have thrown the ball 50+ times in each of their last 2 games so look for Ebron to get his receptions tonight!