Let down day yesterday after what we did on Friday but we had some tough luck. We are chasing a unit on the week but we have plenty of action today to close out the week strong. Let’s get right into the picks. Let me know if you need a SportsBook that accepts these bets.
If we hit all 3 of the plays in the 1 o’clock games, we will add 1 or 2 late plays so be sure to check in. I will tweet/insta story if we add.
Chiefs ML / Ravens ML / Bears ML (-142) – JACKHAMMER – The 13-1 Chiefs will go up against the 4-10 Falcons and their disastrous passing defense that ranks second worst in the league. Pat Mahomes is going to go off on them today and the Chiefs should really run away with this game. The Falcons have lost 4 of their last 5 and those losses came to worst teams than the Chiefs. The Falcons have also scored less than 20 points in 3 of their last 5 and they will struggle to keep pace with this Chiefs offense that averages 31.1 ppg. Then we have the Ravens who are fighting to get into the playoffs. They will host the 5-9 Giants who had a glimmer of hope before losing their last 2 games by more than 2 touchdowns each. The Ravens have won 3 straight and scored 40+ in 2 of those 3 games since Lamar Jackson came back from Covid. The Giants defense has been good this year but they have a tough matchup against a hot Ravens team. Ravens should win for us. Closing it out will be the Bears going on the road to face the 1-13 Jaguars who literally want to lose so they can get the #1 draft pick. The Jaguars run defense has been so bad that they can’t stop a nose bleed. They have allowed 145+ rushing yards in 4 straight games. The Bears should feed David Montgomery and he should run all over the Jags today as they fight for a playoff spot. The Jags have lost 13 in a row and make it 14 today. Go Bears!
David Montgomery Total Rushing Yards Over (83.5) – Montgomery is coming off of a game where he rushed for 146 yards on 32 carries. He has a great matchup against this Jaguars defense that allowed 159 rushing yards to the Ravens last week, 249 to the Titans, 146 to the Vikings, & 207 to the Browns before that. Montgomery should get touches and the Bears will be looking to attack this weak run defense. Montgomery has gone over 100 rushing yards in 3 of his last 4 games.
Tyreek Hill To Score a Touchdown (-165) – Yeah we will take this one anytime and any place at this point. We have already hit this same player prop multiple times this season. Hill has scored a touchdown in 11 of his 14 games and he even scored one in one of those games that he didn’t officially score because the Chiefs didn’t challenge the call on the field. Hill and Mahomes are going to absolutely torch this Falcons pass defense that ranks second worst in the league allowing 287.7 ypg. Hill should get in the end zone at least once today.
Washington Football Team (-1) – With a Giants loss to the Ravens and a win here, the WFT can clinch the NFC East Division and a playoff spot. WFT coach Ron Rivera will be facing his former team for the first time since being fired by them after 9 seasons. Getting into the actual numbers, WFT has won 4 of their last 5 while Carolina has lost 4 of their last 5. WFT will get Antonio Gibson back from injury and he’s averaged 104.5 rushing yards in his last 2 full games. The Panthers haven’t been very good against the run so he should be a big part of the game plan today. Alex Smith is a game time decision and we are hopeful he plays because WFT is 4-2 in his games this season. I do like WFT even if Haskins is in because they should have a run heavy game plan. The WFT team has held 5 straight opponents to 20 points or less and the Panthers will likely be without their top RB McCaffrey today. I’m going to say it – HAIL TO THE REDSKINSSS!! NFC East Champs!!
Davante Adams To Score a Touchdown (-155) – Davante didn’t get in the end zone last week but he scored in 8 straight games before that. He has 14 touchdowns in 12 games this season. He should have plenty of chances to score in this game as it has the highest over under total of all the games on the schedule this week. This Titans secondary was torched a few weeks ago by the Browns so nothing makes me think they will keep Davante out of the end zone tonight even with the snow in the forecast, that’ll make it tough on the defenders to try and stay with him.
ADDED 6:00 EST
Titans (+9) / Under (59.5) – This one is going to be a snow bowl and it is going to be a lot of fun to watch with these teams battling in 2-5 inches of snow. When you think snow, you think of running the ball and the Titans certainly have the advantage in that department with Derrick Henry who has run for 130+ yards in 4 of his last 5 games. This Packers defense allowed 163 yards and 3 touchdowns to Dalvin Cook earlier this season so look for Henry to have a big game. That will allow the Titans to control the game with their time of possession and limit the time Aaron Rodgers is on the field. That should allow the Titans to keep this game within 9 points and also lead to it going under 59.5 in snowy conditions.
Aaron Jones Total Rushing Yards Over (73.5) – The snowy conditions should make both teams look to run the ball and this number looks appealing for Jones tonight. He has gone over 73.5 yards in 3 of his last 4 games. This Titans defense hasn’t been great against the run and they have allowed 114.5 rushing yards per game. Jones has had 15+ carries 4 weeks in a row and he should surpass that number again tonight as well as the 73.5 in the snow tonight.