One of the most popular Super Prop bets is betting on the coin toss. Why? It’s literally a coin flip! As a gambler though, it’s an early piece of action that is quick to start the game and the night (unless you bet on the length of the National Anthem already). Is a coin flip really a 50/50 chance every time? What are the recent results from the Super Bowl coin flips? Let’s take a closer look as we close in on Super Bowl Sunday.
Is a coin flip really 50/50 chance?
The common conception is that a coin flip is a 50/50 chance every time. There are two sides to the coin so if you take 100% and divide by 2, you get the 50% chance of it landing on heads and 50% chance of it landing on heads. However, people who are smarter than me have been looking into this for years. Is it probability or is it physics? People have theories that the probability and results of coin tosses can be manipulated by the way a coin is tossed, the speed, and the size of the coin. I think we can all agree if a coin is flipped up at a fast speed and it lands on the ground, there’s a good chance it’s a legit 50/50 split. However, if a coin is tossed at a slower speed and caught in your hand, the results can be manipulated. One guy actually flipped a coin 10 times and made it land on heads 10 times. The size of a coin can also effect the aero dynamics. Super Bowl Coins are much larger than standard coins.
Super Bowl Coin Flip Results
Super Bowl 54 – Tails
Super Bowl 53 – Tails
Super Bowl 52 – Heads
Super Bowl 51 – Tails
Super Bowl 50 – Tails
Super Bowl 49 – Tails
Super Bowl 48 – Tails
Super Bowl 47 – Heads
Super Bowl 46 – Heads
Super Bowl 45 – Heads
So tails is 6 for 10 over the last 10 years but it’s hit in 6 of the last 7 years. One interesting trend that came up in my research here is that the winner of the coin toss has gone 3-7 in the last 10 Super Bowls. You would think it would be the other way around with the winner deferring and getting the ball at half.
I did bet on the coin toss last year as a “fun bet” and I won by betting on tails. However, I think there are much better betting options in this game than the coin flip. Best of luck to all of you who do bet on the coin toss. I’m a trends guy so 6 of 7 is pretty hot but I still wouldn’t count on it coming through.
Check out our Super Bowl 55 Betting Preview that was released yesterday. We will have more Super Bowl content coming up over the next few days so keep your eyes out! Follow on Twitter for more updates.