We have two games on the NBA slate for tonight with the Celtics hosting the Heat with a chance to close out the series and then the Clippers will host the Mavs in Game 5 of their series which is tied up at 2. We are targeting some NBA Player Prop Picks 5/1 for tonight's games. Let's get right into the picks!
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NBA Player Prop Picks 5/1
Celtics vs Heats Player Prop Picks 5/1
Al Horford Rebounds Over (7.5)
Caleb Martin Threes Made Over (1.5)
Al Horford Rebounds Over (7.5)
Kristaps Porzingis is going to miss some time due to his calf injury and Al Horford is going to see an increased role with him out. Looking at Game 4 after Porzingis went out, Al played 34 minutes which was much more than his 22, 23 & 26 minutes played in the first three games of the series. He has gone over 7.5 rebounds in 2 of the 4 games in this series but with him expected to play more minutes again tonight, he should have an even better chance to go over this line. The Heat are missing a lot of shots in this series as well due to the Celtics defense and Al is going to be the guy down low with the first unit. There is the risk of the starters sitting early with the spread at -14 but I don't think they will let up tonight because they don't want to have to go back to Miami for Game 6.
Caleb Martin Threes Made Over (1.5)
Caleb Martin has gone over 1.5 threes made in 2 of the 4 games in this series and he went way over in those games with 4 and 5 threes made in those games. When he's confident, he really can catch fire. I also think he will be motivated to have a good game tonight after Tatum posterized him on Monday night and the Celtics local channel listed Tatum as Caleb's father:
Mavericks vs Clippers Player Prop Picks 5/1
James Harden Points Over (22.5)
Kawhi Leonard is out tonight so Harden should continue to be a top scoring option with Paul George for the Clippers tonight. He had 33 in Game 4 and 28 in Game 1 which are coincidentally the 2 games that Kawhi did not play in this series. The Clippers are listed as slight underdogs at home tonight but I think they have a good chance at winning this game backed by a strong performance from Harden.
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