WHAT A DAY to kick off the NFL Playoffs 3-0 on player props and we carry over the teaser and anytime TD parlay to today with the first legs hitting. We have 3 more plays lined up for today’s games:
1:00 EST
Player Prop
Josh Allen Touchdown Passes Over (1.5) 🥈
This one caught my attention because it’s -105 and the more I looked into it the more I loved it.
Allen has thrown 2+ touchdowns in 8 of his last 11 games.
Broncos have allowed 2+ TD passes in recent games against Burrow, Herbert, Winston, Jackson, & Young so Allen should join that club today.
It’ll be cold but no crazy wind or precipitation in the forecast so Allen should be able to throw TD passes.
4:30 EST
AJ Brown Receiving Yards Over (78.5) 🥇
Jalen Hurts is clear to play so this one is a full go.
Brown had a HUGE game against the Packers way back in Week 1 when he had 119 receiving yards and a touchdown on 10 targets. He’s had 31 targets in his last 3 games.
The Magic number is 5 receptions, he’s gone over in 8 of his 10 games when he has 5+ receptions.
Look for Jalen to go to him a lot on this game.
8:00 EST
Bucs (-3) 🥉
The Bucs worked the Commanders in Week 1 37-20 and I will give the Commanders credit for coming a long way since then but still…
The Commanders had a -30 point differential vs playoff teams this season compared to the Bucs +26. That’s a great stat showing how teams stack up to top competition.
Baker completed 80% of his passes and had 4 touchdowns vs the Commanders in Week 1 but I think the big time advantage the Bucs will have is running the ball with Bucky Irving vs the Commanders third worst run defense in the league.
Let’s take the Bucs to cover at home.